The abstract of a paper by Mikhail V Chester and Arpad Horvath illustrates how vital it is to have dust to dust estimates of energy consumptions and emissions. There we see the estimates of life cycle energy inputs and emissions in the USA add 63% to the tailpipe values for road vehicles, 31% for air and 155% for rail.
Instead of that, nearly all UK emission studies (including this one) deal with tail pipe emissions alone. Consequently the conclusions drawn from those studies may be far from the truth. However, our conclusion would be greatly strengthened if dust to dust calculations, using the Chester and Horvath parameters, were included.
The rail industry pretends to low emissions compared with road transport. In contradiction to that we find that, given rail’s rights of way, replacement express coaches and lorries would:
To suit the continental road vernacular we express energy in terms of litres of diesel and fuel consumptions in Km per litre. UK Readers requiring a data in gallons and miles per gallon click here. (Note, gallons are UK gallons at 4.436 litres per gallon)
The sources and assumptions upon which this our calculations depend are:
These are in the attached spread sheet which enables sensitivity tests to be carried out on items (3) to (6) above.
The table below, also available within the spread sheet, provides summary data for the year 2009-10. Data for later year is awaited.
2009-10 summary |
Rail |
Coach/ lorry |
% reduction |
Rail |
% reduction |
|
Passenger rail |
|
|
||
Million litres |
1,336.85 |
529.3 |
60.4% |
|
|
Passenger-km/gal |
38.2 |
95.63 |
|
|
|
CO2 Ktonnes |
2,859.34 |
1405.4 |
50.8% |
|
|
|
Freight (a) – Excluding drag in and out by lorry |
Freight (b) - Including drag in and out by lorry |
|||
|
|||||
Million litres |
242.5 |
535.4 |
-120.8% |
334.4 |
-60.1% |
Tonne-km/gal |
84.5 |
38.26 |
|
61.3 |
|
CO2 Ktonnes |
565.2 |
1408.2 |
-149.1% |
806.9 |
-74.5% |
|
Passengers + freight (a) |
Pass + freight (b) |
|||
Million litres |
1,579.34 |
1,064.72 |
32.6% |
1,671.21 |
36.3% |
CO2 Ktonenes |
3,424.59 |
2,813.63 |
17.8% |
3,666.22 |
23.3% |